UFC 295: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tom Aspinall by the numbers



After injuries created major short-notice shakeups on last month’s UFC 294 fight card, the theme continued with this weekend’s pay-per-view. And once again both the main event and the future are intertwined with the department.

Heavyweight champion after announcement John Jones After pulling out of the UFC 295 main event due to a torn pectoral tendon, UFC CEO Dana White quickly announced that the rising heavyweight contenders Tom Aspinall (13-3) and Sergey Pavlovich (18-1) will fight for the interim title in the co-main event on Saturday (10pm ET on ESPN+ PPV)

When Jones vs. the former heavyweight champion Stipe Miocic Sure to be compelling, the new matchup has the potential to actually be a more entertaining fight — and bring more intrigue down the line two Fight for the heavyweight title.

A look at the numbers behind this weekend’s co-main event, a matchup between two of the most influential fighters in the history of the UFC heavyweight division.


Pavlovich and Aspinall have a combined 14 fights inside the Octagon. Among those battles, Only one made it past the first round. Each of Pavlovic’s seven UFC fights has ended in a first-round knockout, even losing one. Alistair Overeem She made her promotional debut in November 2018. Aspinall’s only fight that reached the second round Andrei Arlovski In February 2021. Aspinall defeated Arlovski by submission in the second round.


Aspinall’s only UFC loss came on July 23, 2022, when he suffered a gruesome leg injury just 15 seconds into his main event. Curtis Blades. After suffering a knee injury in the first blow of the bout, Aspinall was out of action for 364 days.

The British fighter returns to the Octagon with a face-off on July 22 Marcin Tybura In the main event at UFC London. Aspinall defeated Tybura by first-round TKO, earning a shot at the interim title.


Without question, Pavlovic will be the most dangerous striker Aspinall has faced. The Russian may be the most dangerous striker in UFC history. Averaging just 21.7 total strikes per fight, Pavlovic averaged 6.31 knockdowns per 15 minutes. That’s the highest loss in the promotion’s history and two more knockdowns than the next fighter. Drew McPhedries The second best knockdown rate is 4.27. Aspinall has the fifth-best rate at 2.78.


the game the game


Sergei Pavlovich therefore made quick work of Tuivasa

It would take less than 60 seconds for Sergey Pavlovich to end Tai Tuivasa in front of a frustrated Orlando crowd.

Speaking of Pavlovic’s striking, the 31-year-old is the most accomplished striker in the UFC heavyweight division. Pavlovic builds on this weekend’s fight 8.72 strikes landed per minute, which is the highest strikeout rate per minute in divisional history. Aspinall has the second highest rate, landing at 7.65 per minute.


Aspinall etched his name in the UFC record books as well. 30-year-olds have the lowest average fight time, Averaged just 2 minutes and 19 seconds of action When he steps into the Octagon. Pavlovich’s third-shortest average time is 2:23. Don’t blink when these two enter the cage on Saturday.


In addition to a shorter average fight time, Aspinall also boasts the second-highest striking differential in promotion history. From date, is British Outlanding opponents by an average of 4.75 strikes. Former women’s featherweight champion Cris Cyborg The only fighter with a higher differential at 4.79. Pavlovic finished third with a 4.39 differential.

Aspinall’s best performance was against Sergei Spivak in September 2021, where he landed 16 strikes and stopped Spivak from landing a single strike en route to a first-round TKO victory.


Although these two fighters seem very well matched, there is a significant advantage for Pavlovic. He will have a Six inch reach advantage Over Aspinall, a battle that could take place on foot. Pavlovic’s ability to stay out of Aspinall’s range could be a factor influencing the outcome of this fight.


In a division full of fighters who specialize in one discipline, Aspinall is truly a skilled fighter. In addition to his high-level striking highlighted above, he is a talented wrestler and submission artist.

Through seven UFC fights, Aspinall has a perfect takedown rate, Completing 100 percent of his takedown attempts. While he hasn’t had to use the skill very often — Aspinall has only attempted four takedowns — it’s good to have it in his back pocket in the biggest fight of his career. Aspinal are also tied for the least amount of time spent in the bottom position in promotion history. tied with Justin TafaSpent only 01 seconds fighting time in bottom position.



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